All About Market Potential: How to Analyze Market Potential
Written by MasterClass
Last updated: Apr 15, 2022 • 3 min read
Whether you want to expand your current business or find opportunities in new markets, determining the market potential is one of the most crucial first steps for an entrepreneur to take.
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What Is Market Potential?
Market potential is a valuation of potential revenue for a particular product or service at a given time. The market size can include a target market or a market segment, and you can measure it in terms of the total value or units of a particular product. Calculating the market potential requires access to extensive, high-quality data and the ability to analyze that data properly.
Why Is Market Potential Important?
A proactive business plan requires knowledge of the overall market potential. The maximum sales potential for a good or service will directly affect your business’s ability to expand and is one of the most critical data points for investors. Before launching a new product or service, companies should calculate potential profitability, conduct market research, and analyze the market growth rate for optimal success.
4 Factors That Determine Market Potential
The market potential is a moving target, and several factors can influence market potential, including:
- 1. Policy and regulations: Market potential can quickly change when laws change, or a new political regime comes into power. Even simple adjustments, like a change in interest rates, can have profound and lasting effects. Be sure to factor these changes into the market strategy. Being well informed about policy changes is critical for accurate forecasting of market changes.
- 2. Competition: Having information about your direct competitors, such as the size of their share of the market, including their sales volume, is a critical factor in determining market potential. It’s also crucial to understand your indirect competitors—companies that provide similar services or products to your current customers and are likely to become direct competitors.
- 3. Technology: Technological change affects almost every aspect of the marketplace, from market growth rate to consumer demand. For instance, the shift away from brick and mortar stores to e-commerce was a significant factor in the market potential for various retail industries.
- 4. Environment: The physical facts of a given environment and the economic environment play an important role in any market opportunity. A recession will significantly impact market potential. Environmental changes that can lead to more unpredictable weather can also significantly impact the market.
How to Analyze Market Potential
When calculating market potential, it is necessary to have the right analysis tools. Consider the following analysis tips:
- 1. Conduct customer research. It’s essential to know your target market, including existing and potential consumers, to determine the market share. This includes knowing the number of customers, their disposable income, and preferences, especially if you are testing a new product. You can track their spending habits and household income, and you can look at customers’ consumption habits over a long period and compare it to historical trends. Consumer surveys are one of the best methods for this kind of analysis and provide detailed, personalized information.
- 2. Look at the big picture. Since market potential is a dynamic factor, it’s essential to keep things in perspective, starting with the historical trends that have previously affected the market. This includes demographic trends, changes in economic conditions, and other factors.
- 3. Learn about your competitors. Understanding what your competitors are doing in the market is vital for analysis. How they interact with customers, how well they are meeting their business goals, and the size of their share of the total market are all data points that can inform your market analysis.
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